Interventions to Reduce Pneumonia, Diarrhea, and Malaria

53% of all-cause under-five mortality reduction1

Per IHME estimates

 

Quantitative modeling results

LIVES SAVED TOOL32

18,823 lives saved and 12% of total lives saved between 2000 and 2016 attributed to oral antibiotics, ORT, zinc treatment, and ACTs (the majority attributed to antibiotics for pneumonia).

 

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 Care-seeking behavior remained unchanged for diarrhea, fever, or respiratory infections. This might be a result of introduction of CB-IMCI and consequent care-seeking from CHWs as opposed to health facilities.

FEASIBILITY

 FB-IMCI was able to be implemented in facilities, with the last scale-up phase beginning in 2013.

FIDELITY

 Service Provision Assessment data from 2012–2013 showed high levels of malaria readiness: 99% of facilities offered malaria diagnosis and treatment services, 78% had at least one trained provider, 85% had guidelines available.2

Data assessing quality of care unavailable.

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Reduction in death rate due to malaria, diarrhea, and pneumonia among children under 5. However, incidence also dropped so contribution of IMCI could not be determined. Drop in incidence could have resulted from ITN use (malaria) and improvement in WASH (diarrhea).

 Testing all cases of fever in children, in the rainy season, resulted in 85% increase in number of confirmed malaria cases.

 Final scale-up phase began in 2013, but rates of care-seeking remained under universal coverage targets3

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 Community ownership demonstrated in funding the building of health huts and purchase of medicines for program use. Perception that program is well adapted to local context.

 Care-seeking rates improved for fever.

 Care-seeking rates did not improve for diarrhea or pneumonia.

FEASIBILITY

 Supply chain strategies remained vertical (malaria only).

FIDELITY

 90% quality diagnosis and management.

 Program reporting not integrated in health management information system, limited supervision, and stockouts of diarrhea and ARI supplies.

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Only 23% of ARI cases within districts were managed by CHWs.

 Ultimate goal was not met – 86% district coverage achieved with 3,240 CHWs (3 per district).

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 Low uptake of ORT and zinc suggested low acceptability, althoug may have been due to other challenges (e.g. frequent stockouts for zinc).

FEASIBILITY

 ORT and zinc program implemented but with limited coverage

FIDELITY

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Following the integration of ORT into CB-IMCI in 2003, children with diarrhea who received ORT or recommended home fluids decreased from 33% in 1997 to 26% in 2005.4

 In 2016, 20% of children who had diarrhea received ORT; of those, 21% received ORT – packet or liquids.

 In 2009, zinc was added to CB-IMCI. In 2010, 0.3% of diarrhea cases were treated with zinc supplements, increasing to 7% in 2016.5 

Other Interventions to Reduce Malaria

22% of all-cause under-five mortality reduction

Per IHME estimates

 

Quantitative modeling results

LIVES SAVED TOOL

18,808 lives saved and 12% of total lives saved from 2000 to 2016 attributed to ITNs and indoor residual spraying32

 

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 Household ownership of ITNs increased from 20% (2005) to 63% (2010) to 82% (2016).

FEASIBILITY

 In 2012, ITNs were rolled out in Senegal.

FIDELITY

 Proportion of children under 5 who slept under a net the night before the DHS increased from 7% (2005) to 35% (2010) to 67% (2016).

 In 2016, after the study period ended, research found the distribution of nets in some regions (e.g., Dakar, Thies) was delayed during the mass distribution campaign.

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Decline in prevalence of malaria (parasitemia) from 8% (2008) to 3% (2010) to 1.2% (2014) among children (although may not be solely attributed to ITNs).

 Household ownership of ITNs increased from 20% (2005) to 63% (2010) to 82% (2016).

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Interventions to Reduce Vaccine Preventable Diseases

31% of all-cause under-five mortality reductions

Per IHME estimates

 

Quantitative modeling results

LIVES SAVED TOOL

49,012 lives saved and 32% of total lives saved from 2000 to 2016 attributed to vaccines and vitamin A supplements (primarily Hib and measles vaccine).

 

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 Post-introduction evaluation showed high acceptability – mothers understood benefits of vaccine.

 High coverage reflected high acceptability as well.

FEASIBILITY

 Interviewees reported high levels of rigor and quality of the preparation phase: “The plan had gone as planned… no major changes… preparation work was well done.”

 Post-introduction evaluation conducted 1 year after introduction found few challenges with trainings.

FIDELITY

 Post-introduction evaluation of PCV conducted 1 year after introduction found issues with analysis of vaccination data and cold-chain management.

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 PCV coverage among 1-year-olds went from 81% (2014) to 89% (2015) to 93% (2016).

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 High coverage achieved.

FEASIBILITY

 High coverage achieved.

FIDELITY

 Post-introduction evaluation showed vaccines were exposed to temperatures outside recommended range.6 

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Coverage of third dose of Hib vaccine increased from 18% (2005) to 89% (2010) to 93% (2016).7 Coverage of third dose of pentavalent vaccine increased from 80% (2011) to 90% (2016).

 Deaths due to meningitis among children under 5 decreased, although the proportional contribution to under-5 mortality did not change.8

 Hospitalizations due to Haemophilus influenzae meningitis in Dakar Region declined by 98% from 2002 to 2008.

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

Overall coverage data suggests high acceptability while low coverage of outreach in outbreak areas suggests otherwise; this may have been due to other barriers besides poor acceptability.

FEASIBILITY

 Overall, moderate coverage achieved.

 Low coverage of outreach suggested low feasibility.

FIDELITY

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Coverage improved from pre-2000, although it remained mostly static, ranging from 76% (2005) to 82% (2011) to 81% (2016).9

 Even in targeted areas where outbreaks occurred, coverage was still low.10

 Interviews indicate strong surveillance and response system.

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 High coverage achieved.

FEASIBILITY

 High coverage achieved.

FIDELITY

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Proportion of rotavirus-positive diarrhea hospitalizations significantly declined from 42% pre-introduction to 10% (2015–2016) and 17% (2016–2017).11

 Coverage of last dose of rotavirus vaccine increased from 83% (2015) to 96% (2016)12

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 High coverage achieved.

FEASIBILITY

 High coverage achieved.

FIDELITY

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 The proportion of children under 5 who received vitamin A supplements remained at 78% in 2010 and 2016, but increased in between those years.13

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Interventions to Reduce HIV

<1% of all-cause under-five mortality reductions

Per IHME estimates

 

Quantitative modeling results

LIVES SAVED TOOL

871 lives saved and <1% of total lives saved from 2000 to 2016 attributed to PMTCT and ART.

 

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

Generally low coverage (e.g., HIV+ children receiving ART) suggested low acceptability, although could have reflected challenges with implementation.

FEASIBILITY

 PMTCT and ART for pediatrics program implemented nationally, but with challenges.

FIDELITY

 According to a 2014 study, lack of training and supervision continued to be key shortcomings of PMTCT.14

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 HIV testing at ANC and receiving results remained low, ranging from 32% in 2005 to 52% in 2015. Similarly, 22% of women had knowledge of PMTCT in 2005 compared with only 28% in 2016.15

 Early infant diagnosis increased from 9% in 2008 to 13% in 2016.16,17 Remains low because it requires sophisticated laboratories, trained technicians, and is expensive.17

 The rate of HIV+ pregnant women receiving ART increased from 23% in 2010 to 57% in 2016.

 New cases of children (ages 0–14) with HIV was less than 1,000 from 2003 to 2016, whereas HIV-exposed children who were uninfected increased from 15,000 in 2003 to 30,000 in 2016.18

 Maternal-to-child transmission rate was 5% in 2010.19

 Senegalese Antiretroviral Drug Access Initiative (including children) was extended to the country’s 11 regions.

 In 2015 only 25% of children ages 0–14 received treatment,20 an increase from 2.6% in 2005.

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Interventions to Reduce Malnutrition

17% of all-cause under-five mortality reductions

Per IHME estimates

 

Quantitative modeling results

LIVES SAVED TOOL

15,435 lives saved and 10% of total lives saved from 2000 to 2016 attributed to nutrition interventions, including breastfeeding practices and complementary feeding.

 

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

 92% of children attended 6 of 7 weighing sessions (CNP program results prior to 2000).21

 Interviewees noted that the multisectoral (+) The effectiveness and efficiency of the Community Nutrition approach was an asset for nutrition program.

FEASIBILITY

 The effectiveness and efficiency of the Community Nutrition Program was limited; it was discontinued in 2000.22

 Successful integration of community-based management of malnutrition into the Nutrition Enhancement Program (NEP).22

FIDELITY

 In 2014, NEP adhered strictly to the principles and standards outlined in the program’s implementation manual.23

 Proportion of caregivers who recognized 2 or more danger signs in sick children increased from 55% in 2002 to 77% in 2005.24

 The Cellule de Lutte Contre la Malnutrition had a strong system of monitoring, which highlighted regular progress.

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Chronic malnutrition decreased from 29% to 21% between 2000 and 2015.25

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Interventions to Reduce Neonatal Disorders

7% of all-cause under-five mortality reduction

Per IHME estimates

 

Quantitative modeling results

LIVES SAVED TOOL

28,921 lives saved and 19% of total lives saved from 2000 to 2016 attributed to neonatal and antenatal interventions (primarily labor and delivery management)

 

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

Data on effectiveness and coverage indicates mixed acceptability.

FEASIBILITY

 Maternal Tetanus Program implemented; goal of less than 1 case per 1,000 live births achieved.

FIDELITY

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 In 2014, there were 3,406 bajenou gokhs, compared with a target of 12,000 (target required to reach 1 per 100 households).

 Women who attended at least 1 ANC session was high – 83% in 1997, increasing after 2000 to 96% in 2016.26

 Attendance of 4+ ANC sessions was very low – 13% in 1992, 40% in 2005, and 53% in 2016. According to interviewees, persistently low ANC4+ rates resulted from various factors such as cultural norms and late access to ANC.

 Rate of women receiving at least 2 doses of tetanus toxoid increased from 45% in 2000 to 84% in 2015; the rate of newborns protected at birth increased from 62% in 2000 to 82% in 2016.27

 Cases of neonatal tetanus reduced to achieve goal.

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Synthesis of Research Evidence

ACCEPTABILITY

FEASIBILITY

 By 2006, FDCP had been scaled up to all regions in Senegal, except Dakar where it was rolled out in 2012.

FIDELITY

Implementation data of FDCP after the pilot were unavailable for the team to review.

 A 2009 evaluation of facilities that were provided resuscitation devices showed the equipment was not used in approximately half of facilities.28

 The Helping Babies Breathe program experienced challenges due to lack of coaching for health workers, absence of standards for neonatology units, and limited monitoring and evaluation, according to interviews.

EFFECTIVENESS/REACH

 Facility-based deliveries increased steadily, up from 49% in 1999 to 77% in 2016.27

 Fresh stillborn rate remained steady, from 3.3% in 2004 to 3.1% in 2005.29

 Maternal mortality rate per 100,000 live births declined from 488 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2000 to 315 in 2015, an annual reduction rate of 2.9%.30

 Cesarean section rate remained the same – 4% in 2005, 5% in 2010, and 5% in 2016.

 Although still low, 40% of facilities carried an aspiration tube in 2012,31 increasing to 51% in 2016.27

 By 2019, interviewees noted that neonatal corners had been rolled out nationally in Senegal.

 According to Service Provision Assessment data, resuscitation was performed at 68% of facilities in 2012 and remained constant by 2016 (64%).

 In 2015, 60% of providers reported ever receiving training for resuscitation, and 32% reported receiving continuing education in the previous 24 months.

 Drop in death rates due to asphyxia suggests effectiveness.

IHME DECOMPOSITION RESULTS

Other factors

Quantitative modeling results

DECOMPOSITION RESULTS1              

6% of overall reduction in under-five mortality attributed to WASH and other environmental factors.

 

LIVES SAVED TOOL

23,160 lives saved and 15% of total lives saved attributed to WASH interventions.

LiST estimates a total of 155,000 lives saved and a reduction in under-5 mortality rate of 29%. The modeled results capture 45% of the observed decline in mortality as estimated by IGME. The additional estimated decline (per IGME estimates) could be attributed to other factors that are not measurable or that fall outside of direct health system interventions (e.g., economic development, women’s empowerment).

 

Contextual factors including economic growth, improvements in gender equity and women's empowerment, education, and improvements in sanitation

The primary research findings suggest additional contextual factors that contributed to under-5 mortality reductions in Senegal that were outside of the health system interventions – these include improvements in gender equity and economic growth.

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Methodology