Key Points

  • One of the poorest countries in the world, Ethiopia lowered its mortality rate among children under age five (under-five mortality or U5M) by nearly 60 percent during the study period (2000–2015).
  • The reduction in U5M included a 67 percent decrease in respiratory infection deaths and a 92 percent decrease in malaria deaths.
  • Ethiopia also reduced the neonatal mortality rate by 40 percent.

Ethiopia, the second most populous country in Africa, has achieved remarkable declines in U5M. Following consistent but slow progress, U5M dropped from 146 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2000 to 64 in 2015.1

This improvement spanned income categories, and the formerly large gap in under-five mortality between the wealthiest Ethiopians and the rest of the country narrowed significantly during this period.2

U5M decreased across all regions, though geographic variances remain. The U5M rate in Addis Ababa, the country’s capital and largest city, was 39 deaths per 1,000 live births as of 2016. For the same year, the U5M rate in the northeastern region of Afar was 125 per 1,000.3,4

During the 2000–2015 study period, Ethiopia achieved a steep downturn in mortality for the largest U5M causes of death. For example, the rate of respiratory infection deaths per 100,000 children under age five decreased by 64 percent and diarrhea-related deaths by 52 percent.1

Although Ethiopia has not yet achieved full coverage of essential public health measures such as vaccinations, antenatal care, and facility-based childbirth, it has made notable gains on all three of these measures – and many others – which have been instrumental in driving overall reductions in U5M.5

Under-five mortality in Ethiopia over time, death rates per 100,000 children under five

Data Source: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) GBD 2017
   

Under-five causes of death in Ethiopia over time, % of total U5M

Data Source: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) GBD 2017

Ethiopia has also shown impressive declines in its neonatal mortality rate, though as with many other U5M exemplar countries, progress toward reducing neonatal mortality has come more slowly. As with overall U5M, decreases in neonatal mortality have occurred across geographic regions and wealth quintiles but geographic differences remain.6

Ethiopia has outperformed neighboring countries and Countdown to 2030 Peers in magnitude of reduction of both U5MR and NMR

Data Source: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) GBD 2017

Ethiopia clearly stands out as an exemplar of U5M reduction, though challenges remain to continue making progress. That one of the world’s poorest countries could achieve this reduction across such a large and diverse population, and throughout a vast geographic area, makes it a promising model for a wide range of low- and middle-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa and beyond.

The country’s successes resulted from the effective implementation of evidence-based interventions to reduce child mortality. Its success also reflects broader contextual factors that both facilitated interventions and indirectly reduced child mortality, particularly through improved overall health status and resiliency of children and families.

Together, these implementation strategies and contextual elements suggest five primary drivers that contributed to Ethiopia’s success in reducing U5M:

  • Strengthening the national primary health care system and infrastructure.
  • Creating a strong, comprehensive community health system, centered on a highly successful Health Extension Program.
  • Availability of significant donor and partner resources, and the government’s ability to coordinate these resources effectively.
  • Commitment to data collection and use, pilot testing, and rapid scale-up of interventions.
  • Attentiveness to the social and economic factors that affect U5M.

Change in under-5 mortality rate versus change in GDP per capita

Data Source: IHME GBD 2017 and World Bank World Development indicators
     
For more information on the five drivers of U5M reductions, see the How Did Ethiopia Implement? and Context articles within this narrative.
  1. 1
    Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2017). Seattle, WA: IHME; 2018. http://www.healthdata.org/gbd. Accessed December 12, 2019.
  2. 2
    ICF. Under-five mortality rate, by wealth quintile – Ethiopia [data set]. STATcompiler. Rockville, MD: The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program. Fairfax, VA: ICF; 2012. http://www.statcompiler.com. Accessed December 12, 2019.
  3. 3
    Central Statistical Agency (CSA) [Ethiopia] and ICF. Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey 2016. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, and Rockville, Maryland, USA: CSA and ICF; 2016. https://www.dhsprogram.com/pubs/pdf/FR328/FR328.pdf. Accessed January 17, 2020.
  4. 4
    ICF. Under-five mortality rate, by region – Ethiopia [data set]. STATcompiler. Rockville, MD: The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program. Fairfax, VA: ICF; 2012. http://www.statcompiler.com. Accessed December 12, 2019.
  5. 5
    ICF. Coverage rates of vaccines and facility-based childbirth – Ethiopia [data set]. STATcompiler. Rockville, MD: The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program. Fairfax, VA: ICF; 2012. http://www.statcompiler.com. Accessed December 12, 2019.
  6. 6
    ICF. Neonatal mortality rate – Ethiopia [data set]. STATcompiler. Rockville, MD: The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program. Fairfax, VA: ICF; 2012. http://www.statcompiler.com. Accessed December 12, 2019.

What did Ethiopia do?